In 2010, the price of cotton went up and down, it made people heart beat, and it fell flustered. The ups and downs of the price of cotton can not be understood by ordinary people, and old-timers who have been engaged in cotton purchases and sales for decades also cannot understand. Cotton farmers, cotton companies, and textile companies in the cotton industry chain are tangled up in cotton prices.
In recent years, the prices of food and other agricultural products have continued to rise. The price of cotton has been underestimated for a long time. The increase in 2010 is a matter of course. However, if the rise is too rapid and the rate of increase is too high, there will be a bubble. After November 11, 2010, China took measures to regulate the cotton market. The price of cotton began to drop sharply. By the end of November, the purchase price of seed cotton fell to 10.6 yuan/kg and the lint price fell to 26,000 yuan/ton. Afterwards, it slowly increased again. Until the Spring Festival, seed cotton rose to 12 yuan/kg, and lint cotton was raised to 28,000 yuan/ton. After the Spring Festival, due to the surge in the price of cotton ** at home and abroad, the spot price also rose sharply. In mid-February, the purchase price of seed cotton rose to 12.8 yuan/kg, and the lint price rose to 31,000 yuan/ton. In recent days, spot prices of cotton in Dezhou City, Shandong Province have continued to decline, and sales of lint cotton have been stagnant, with lint sales slowing as ** price oscillations weakened and a large textile group in Shandong lowered the purchase price of lint again.
25% cotton not sold
On April 21st, the sales price of lint cotton in the third-grade land in Texas was around 28,000 yuan/ton (delivery, gross weight, with ticket), 4th level 27,300 yuan/ton, and weak 4th level 26,800 yuan/ton, down by 400 yuan from previous days. / Ton or more, no one is interested in sales of lint. The purchase price of the third-grade seed cotton was 11 yuan/kg (clothing 36%, moisture regain 10%), fourth-grade 10.8 yuan/kg, and the mixed-grade system spent 10.6 yuan/kg, down 0.2 yuan/kg more than a week ago. With the continuous decline in cotton prices, seed cotton acquisitions currently have no market value, basically in a stagnant state, cotton prices continue to decline due to cotton prices, do not want to receive, dare not receive; cotton farmers are not willing to sell the price is too low, want to sell no one Received. The current price is far below the psychological expectations of cotton farmers 12 yuan/kg to 13 yuan/kg. It is understood that 70% of the cotton in some villages in Xiajin County has not yet been sold, and about 25% of the cotton in the entire Texas area has not been sold.
In recent years, cotton yarn sales in Dezhou City have been difficult, and inventory has continued to increase. Plants have stepped up marketing efforts, generally adopting preferential policies for price cuts to increase sales and reduce inventory. Currently, the mainstream transaction price of C32S yarns is below 36,000 yuan/ton, and the high quotation is at 37,000 yuan. / Ton ~ 37,500 yuan / ton. The current cotton market has such an embarrassing situation: textile enterprises have difficulties in sales of cotton yarn, they are reluctant to purchase lint, and some companies restrict production or stop production; cotton acquisition and processing enterprises are afraid that the price of cotton will continue to fall and they are unwilling to acquire cotton. All of them have stopped. Farmers are unwilling to sell cotton because they are arguing that they have low prices.
Farmers are sad
The general mentality of the cotton people is that they will not sell as they rise. From September 2010 to the present, the cotton price has risen and fell. There have been two highs: 14.4 yuan/kg and 12.8 yuan/kg. The cotton farmers who can sell at these two times may not even reach 5% Most farmers sell between the ups and downs. Xiajin County is a cotton-growing county in Shandong Province. Farmers have the habit of selling cotton after the Spring Festival, and many farmers have been watching.
According to the survey, at present, the total amount of cotton stored in Xiajin County is about 40%, and some villages have about 80% of cotton stored. Even some farmers do not sell a pound, and there are tens of thousands of pounds of cotton at home. The ups and downs of cotton prices have affected cotton farmers' enthusiasm for cotton planting. At present, Dezhou City is in the period of cotton sowing. Some cotton farmers originally reserved cotton fields and want to change other crops. It is estimated that the cotton planting area in the city will be about 1.5 million mu in 2011, which is a slight decrease compared with the previous year.
Cotton enterprises are very upset
As a cotton acquisition and processing enterprise in the middle of the cotton industry chain, it is not afraid of high cotton prices, nor is it afraid of low cotton prices. As long as the price is stable, there will be reasonable profits. For fear that the cotton price will fluctuate, the time of acquisition and shipment is very high. Difficult to grasp.
Currently, lint prices have fallen below 28,000 yuan/ton, while the cost of stock lint is above 29,000 yuan/ton, which means a loss. According to the survey, the average cotton stocks in Dezhou City are currently about 150 tons, and there are 6 more than 400 tons, and the most are more than 800 tons. The ups and downs of the cotton price made the owners of cotton enterprises annoyed and closed their doors.
Textile companies are very tangled
2010 was the best time for textile companies in the past ten years. Cotton yarn was sold well and cotton prices rose. Even if the raw cotton put in the warehouse does not spin into yarn, it will give birth to “gold” every day. After the Spring Festival, until now, the sales of cotton yarns have become more and more difficult, inventory has been increasing, prices have dropped and dropped, and good days have passed into difficult times after one year. The textile enterprises did not dare to stop production due to their hard teeth, because it would be difficult to recruit after stopping production. At present, textile companies have increased their inventories and interest rates. They have no money to buy lint, and they can only consume raw cotton.
At present, the acquisition, processing and sales of cotton are basically stagnant. At the end of April and early May of the previous year, the cotton in the cotton farmers' hands had basically been sold out, and acquisition and processing companies also stopped for holidays. At this time in 2011, 1/4 of the cotton farmers in the Texas region did not sell cotton (more deposits in individual counties). It was very unsafe for them to be kept at home, and the quality of long-term storage was also significantly reduced. At present, the sale of cotton yarn is difficult, and the possibility of a recent rise in cotton prices is very small. It is recommended that farmers retreat from reluctance to sell and sell as soon as possible. At the same time, it is recommended that textile companies accelerate structural adjustments and industrial upgrading, eliminate backward production capacity, actively develop and produce high value-added products, and use non-cotton fibers to dissolve high-priced cotton.
